Forecast verification of ¨day 1 team¨

showforecast

The day began with the verification session of yesterdays ¨day1-forecast¨. As it can be seen on the attached figure, Warsaw domain team managed to forecast lightning probability areas quite well. Highest activity of thunderstorms was observed along the cold front in central part of the Ukraine and parts of Belarus, Latvia and Russia where team issued level 1 threat.

Now, teams changed their tasks and work on day 1 and day 2 forecasts.

We are also looking forward to check the forecast of yesterdays day 2 team tomorrow morning. They issued level 1 for parts of eastern Europe. Will severe weather occur in that area? We will see. showforecast (1)

Share

The first day at the ESSL Testbed 2014

10

In this first week participants from 7 different countries are on site (Austria, Finland, Germany, The Netherlands, Latvia, Switzerland and Poland).

In the morning Pieter Gronemeijer discussed all the available products in the Testbed display and outlined new nowcasting and NWP tools at this Testbed edition. A “roaming sounding” tool allows for model sounding analyses “on the fly”.

Like last year, with support of EUMETCAL remote participants are able to attend the Testbed’s online weather briefings and expert presentations. The first lecture was given by Prof. David Schulz from Manchester University: “Scientific Forecasting: How to Be a Better Forecaster?”.

Then the daily weather briefing was conducted by Georg Pistotnik. The atmosphere did not know any mercy and confronted the participants of the first Testbed week with a challenging start: no obvious hot spot for severe storms. However, participants managed to find places where deep moist convection is likely to occur. A level 1 was issued! How good were these predictions? It will turn out tomorrow in the verification session.

First interesting day in ESSL Science and Training Centre ended at 17:30. In the evening participants were given the opportunity to discover Wiener Neustadt on the guided tour.

Share

The first day at the ESSL Testbed

Vivid discussions are going on in the so-called “map room” (because there is a 3D-map on one of the walls):

088

And also the forecasting team in the so-called “green room” (there are plants!) is actively discussing the “Day 1 Forecast”:

101

In the first week participants from 10 different countries are on site (Turkey, Poland, Estonia, Austria, Germany, Czech Republic, Bosnia Herzegovina, Slovakia, Slovenia and Holland).

Share

Testbed 2013 ready to begin

The last preparations have now been made and we are ready to start with this year’s ESSL Testbed. ESSL is looking forward to welcoming around 50 participants from 20 countries in the coming 4 four weeks in ESSL’s Research and Training Centre in Wiener Neustadt, Austria.

In this year’s edition of the Testbed, we will evaluate 6 forecast-supporting tools, and provide training to forecasters.  New features of this year’s Testbed are this Testbed Blog and remote access to the Testbed Data Interface for participants.

Like last year, with support of EUMETCAL, participants will be able to attend the Testbed’s Weather Briefings and Expert Presentations in the weeks that they are not at the Centre.

small_testbed_team

The ESSL team welcomes this year’s Testbed participants.

 

 

 

 

Share