{"id":950,"date":"2016-06-14T09:54:30","date_gmt":"2016-06-14T09:54:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/?p=950"},"modified":"2016-06-14T09:54:30","modified_gmt":"2016-06-14T09:54:30","slug":"striking-cosmo-e-signal-for-70-hour-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/?p=950","title":{"rendered":"Striking COSMO-E signal for 70 hour forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>COSMO-E predicts a very high probability for extreme precip amounts in the Valais and Ticino area of southern Switzerland for Thursday late evening.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_maxprecip12h.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-952\" src=\"http:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_maxprecip12h-300x200.png\" alt=\"20160614 COSMO E 72_maxprecip12h\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_maxprecip12h-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_maxprecip12h-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_maxprecip12h-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_maxprecip12h-450x300.png 450w, https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_maxprecip12h.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Maximum projection of all ensemble members showing maximum 12 h precip sums of locally more than 200 mm.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_fracprecip12h.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-951\" src=\"http:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_fracprecip12h-300x200.png\" alt=\"20160614 COSMO E 72_fracprecip12h\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_fracprecip12h-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_fracprecip12h-450x300.png 450w, https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_fracprecip12h.png 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Point by point probability for rain sums larger than 70 mm: around 80 % in some places.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_upsprecip12h.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-953\" src=\"http:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_upsprecip12h-300x200.png\" alt=\"20160614 COSMO E 72_upsprecip12h\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_upsprecip12h-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_upsprecip12h-450x300.png 450w, https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/20160614-COSMO-E-72_upsprecip12h.png 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Fraction of members exceeding the threshold of 70 mm in a 40 by 40 km square. Nearly all members for this timestep predict excessive rainfall in south-central Switzerland.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>COSMO-E predicts a very high probability for extreme precip amounts in the Valais and Ticino area of southern Switzerland for Thursday late evening. Maximum projection of all ensemble members showing maximum 12 h precip sums of locally more than 200 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/?p=950\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-950","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-essl-testbed-2016"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/950","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=950"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/950\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":954,"href":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/950\/revisions\/954"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=950"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=950"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/testbed\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=950"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}