{"id":13795,"date":"2023-03-28T14:26:56","date_gmt":"2023-03-28T12:26:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/cms\/?p=13795"},"modified":"2023-03-28T14:53:22","modified_gmt":"2023-03-28T12:53:22","slug":"first-essl-expert-workshop-on-severe-weather-warnings-from-expectations-via-physical-ingredients-to-impact-based-warnings-and-beyond","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.essl.org\/cms\/first-essl-expert-workshop-on-severe-weather-warnings-from-expectations-via-physical-ingredients-to-impact-based-warnings-and-beyond\/","title":{"rendered":"First ESSL Expert Workshop on Severe Weather Warnings: from Expectations via Physical Ingredients to Impact-based Warnings and Beyond"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The workshop is scheduled for autumn, from 16 to 18 October 2023, and takes the very broad view. Target audience are forecasters (“warners”) and heads of forecasters, researchers and practicioners related to warnings, civil protection authorities, and end users of warnings (especially from critical infrastructure).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The following topics will be covered: <\/p>\n\n\n\n

  1. The broad\nmultidisciplinary view: risk ethics (philosophy, moral reasoning), human\nbehaviour (psychology) and legal frameworks (just) in the context of the\nwarning process <\/li>
  2. Limitations\nand new prospects for ingredients-based warning approaches: How should the risk\nmatrix be defined? Can more life be brought to forecasting impacts beyond the\nmarketing term?<\/li>
  3. Communication\n– dealing with uncertainty: Why is there so little progress in communicating\nthe warning uncertainty, and how can this be improved? <\/li>
  4. Action\nadvice and public education: from understanding to response and action. We are\nseeking for good practice examples. <\/li>
  5. General\nand tailored warnings: What are the necessary differences? And how can the gaps\nbetween warners, emergency managements and end users be best bridged?<\/li>
  6. From\nphysical ingredients to impact warnings: Are impacts in high-end meteorological\nevents easier to predict and stronger tied to the physical magnitude than in\nmore frequent and modest events?<\/li>
  7. A critical\nmoment in the meteorological sphere: transition from forecasting to nowcasting\nand the resulting potential sudden jump in probability of extremely rare\nevents. Should there be a stronger focus on the warning means in the \u201clast\nhour\u201d? When in time and at which probability and intensity threshold should\nsirens and other \u201cstrongly interrupting and potentially also frightening\u201d means\nof warning be used? <\/li>
  8. Cross-institutional\nand cross-border communication: What is needed to ensure the flow of relevant\ninformation in extremely time-critical and high workload situations?<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n